XRP is currently valued at around $1.05, with strong buying activity protecting the $1 level following a tough month.
Summary
- XRP is trading close to $1.05 after significant drops over the past week and month.
- ETF inflows continue to be strong while Bitcoin and Ethereum funds are experiencing considerable weekly outflows.
- Market analysts are keeping an eye on the $1 support level, an uptick in active addresses, and potential rebound signals targeting the $1.30 region.
The token has experienced a decline of over 7% in the past week and about 19% in the last 30 days, with a 24-hour trading range between $1.04 and $1.07.
Although the price momentum is weak, various market indicators imply that XRP has not entirely lost its upward potential. Analysts have noted positive ETF inflows, an increase in daily active addresses, and signs of possible early reversal patterns on the daily chart.
XRP remains around $1 after sharp monthly declines
XRP is ranked #6 in the market, boasting a market capitalization of roughly $65.4 billion. Its 24-hour trading volume exceeds $1.1 billion, reflecting strong activity even amid recent lows.
The token is notably far from its all-time high of $3.65 set in July 2025 and has fallen more than 50% in the past year, with a nearly 49% decrease over the last 200 days, highlighting a persistent downtrend.
A recent price analysis for XRP pointed out that it is trading close to a 20-month low. The report underscored the importance of the $1 level, with support identified at $0.85 and $0.70 should that level fail.
The situation is clear: XRP needs to hold the $1 mark to avoid a more severe technical breakdown. A decisive movement past $1.12 and then $1.27 will be crucial for traders to signal a return to buying momentum.
Continued positive ETF demand despite price weakness
XRP fund flows are contrasting significantly with those of Bitcoin and Ethereum. On June 26, XRP recorded the highest single-day net inflows of around $15.63 million, whereas Bitcoin ETFs saw about $444.51 million in outflows, and Ethereum funds lost around $12.85 million.
Weekly trends also appear promising. XRP spot ETFs have achieved seven consecutive weeks of net inflows, totaling approximately $144.69 million, according to SoSoValue’s data.
This trend diverges sharply from Bitcoin and Ethereum’s performance. During the same seven-week period, Bitcoin ETFs experienced approximately $7.73 billion in outflows, while Ethereum ETFs dropped around $1.18 billion.
A previous report on fund flows indicated that XRP products had outperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum for five consecutive weeks. Another study on the CLARITY Act suggested that XRP ETFs attracted around $1.44 billion in cumulative inflows over a six-week buying period, despite weak pricing.
This distinction is critical for XRP price analysis, indicating that while fund demand may not currently be strong enough to push the token higher, it could help prevent more substantial losses near the $1 level.
On-chain activity and chart indicators show positive signs
Analyst Ali Charts highlighted an increase in XRP network activity over the past two weeks. Daily active addresses rose from approximately 23,000 on June 14 to nearly 39,500, indicating heightened on-chain engagement.
A rise in active addresses may suggest more users are engaging with the network. While it doesn’t guarantee a price recovery, it offers traders additional insights as the price approaches a key support level.
Ali also pointed out two bullish reversal indicators on the daily chart. He noted that the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator has printed a “9” buy signal, which can appear prior to a short-term rebound lasting between one and four daily candles.
Moreover, the last three daily sessions formed a Morning Star Doji pattern—often utilized by technical traders to identify a local bottom following a downtrend.
If buying volume increases from here, Ali suggested XRP could target the $1.30 level, which coincides with previous resistance points in recent price movements.
A previous technical analysis on XRP indicated traders were eyeing $1.20 as a potential recovery level, with $1.24 and $1.30 identified as subsequent targets if buyers manage to break through resistance.
Derivatives reset may impact the next movement
As per CryptoOnchain, XRP derivatives have recently undergone significant deleveraging. Long liquidations surged to nearly $3 million over the past week, marking an increase of over 800% from the previous month.
Open interest has contracted from around $1.18 billion to approximately $1.04 billion. At the same time, funding rates have turned deeply negative, suggesting that traders who were positioned for upward movement have been forced out.
This type of reset can eliminate speculative excess from the market and may foster conditions for a sharp movement if short sellers are overwhelmed and spot buyers maintain their momentum.
The spot market appears more stable compared to the futures market. Binance reserves have remained relatively unchanged over the week, indicating that holders are not rushing to transfer XRP to exchanges for immediate sales.
The forthcoming signal will arise from fluctuations in open interest and funding rates. If open interest begins to recover while prices remain above $1, traders may view this as a healthier reset. Conversely, if XRP falls below $1 amidst increasing volume, the market could revert to support levels of $0.85 and $0.70.
Ripple’s broader ecosystem remains under scrutiny, particularly following the launch of RLUSD in Japan via SBI VC Trade. This stablecoin introduction offers Ripple a new regulated pathway in Asia, although XRP’s short-term direction will continue to hinge on price movements, fund inflows, and the capability of buyers to uphold the $1 level.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The information and materials presented here are intended solely for educational purposes.
