The concept of a provisional agreement concerning the Strait of Hormuz has gained traction following Qatar’s announcement of a drafted proposal, with both American and Iranian officials expressing hope about reopening this crucial waterway.
President Donald Trump had a conversation with Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al-Thani on Tuesday to discuss strategies aimed at de-escalating tensions between the US and Iran, as stated by the Gulf state’s government. A spokesperson from the White House confirmed this call, though additional details were not disclosed.
On Tuesday evening, Trump informed reporters in Los Angeles that negotiations with Iran are “progressing very well,” adding, “We’ll know more in 48 hours.”
During a Fox News interview recorded earlier that same day, the president expressed optimism regarding the discussions but warned, “If they don’t reach a deal, it will be unfortunate.”
Axios reported that the US, Iran, and Oman might announce a 60-day agreement on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz as early as Wednesday. The proposal indicates that incoming vessels would follow a northern lane near Iran, while outgoing traffic would navigate Omani waters in cooperation with Iran, according to two regional sources and a US official.
According to Axios, there would be no tolls or fees during this 60-day period, and both Iran and Oman would strive to clear mines from a central shipping lane for two-way traffic.
Brent crude prices were observed trading below $79 a barrel as the possibility of the agreement concerning the strait began to strengthen.
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A short-term agreement could aid in restoring normalcy to commercial shipping in the strait, a critical route for global energy supplies, and impede the resurgence of conflict in the Middle East. However, even if such a deal is reached, it may not resolve the ongoing war or allay Trump’s concerns regarding Iran’s nuclear intentions.
The previous US-Iran ceasefire lasted less than a month, ultimately collapsing due to disagreements over control of Hormuz, increasing the likelihood that military actions and Iranian retaliation could resume if another agreement fails.
In a possible concession that might be part of a deal, Iran is considering allowing European countries to remove mines from the strait, according to diplomats who spoke anonymously about sensitive discussions.
This potential position diverges from Iran’s public stance, but in recent private interactions, Tehran has shown a softer approach. The Iranian foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent both provided encouraging assessments of the Hormuz negotiations. In an interview with CNBC, Bessent hinted that a deal on the crucial route could be on the horizon and would emphasize “freedom of movement.”
Bessent’s comments followed a statement from Qatar’s foreign ministry, one of the primary mediators between Washington and Tehran, revealing that a resolution for de-escalation was “being discussed among the parties.”
Iran’s state-run IRIB News reported that the country’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, Esmail Baghaei, mentioned that discussions with Oman have been constructive, focusing on “defining safe outbound and inbound routes for vessels.”
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Nonetheless, officials from both Qatar and the US have highlighted that no final agreement is in place yet. Throughout the ongoing conflict, US officials have repeatedly claimed that a deal to open Hormuz was imminent, but nothing has come to fruition.
A spokesperson for Qatar stated that he couldn’t provide a timeline for an agreement and emphasized the need to find a short-term solution to prevent further confrontation. It remains unclear whether Qatar was alluding to negotiations between Iran and Oman regarding more ships traversing the Strait of Hormuz.
Recent days have witnessed heightened tensions, with Trump indicating he is offering Iran a final chance to reach an arrangement. Over the weekend, he refrained from executing attacks that he characterized as the most extensive since World War II.
A diplomatic breakthrough appears contingent on discussions between Oman and Iran, although Tehran continues to assert its right to control maritime traffic and stop vessels crossing the strait without its consent. This impasse underscores Trump’s challenges in concluding the war he initiated in late February, which has driven up energy prices in the lead-up to the November midterm elections.
The Islamic Republic has pledged to retaliate strongly against any significant US-Israeli strikes. Throughout the conflict, it has caused considerable damage to Gulf Arab nations such as Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates utilizing one-way attack drones and ballistic missiles.
The Trump administration is also facing criticism regarding US weapons stockpiles after a Reuters report revealed that the Army has exhausted much of its long-range precision missiles. Trump dismissed those concerns on Tuesday, asserting that the US possesses “far more munitions than anyone in the world” and that defense manufacturers are ramping up production.
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